Six Flags St. Louis - Opening Weather Thread

[Aero737]

Alright, there is only one model that forecast 300+ hours in advanced, and it isn't very good that far out.


Forecast: Chance of rain or thunderstorms, cooler temperatures probably in the 40's.


But as it looks now, We will be in a stormy pattern. The models have a large storm hitting St. Louis (storm meaning Low pressure...not thunderstorms) On the 30th and 2nd. The problem with forecasting that far out is that these systems haven't even formed yet. But I would guess that the model is picking up on a trend.

It wont be until 84 hours out that other models can start hinting at saturdays weather.

[EagleFan344]

Its good im going the 15th

[ihauntu2]

As long as the only funnel shaped objects are the ice cream cones, I'll be happy.

[ZombieClown]

Checking my weather program here and it says...well...it says jack. So...what weather program are you checking out to get these estimates? Just curious.

[Aero737]

I don't use other people's forecasts, I make my own.

[Danhockey04]

As long as the only funnel shaped objects are the ice cream cones, I'll be happy.

You cant forget about the waterslide in the waterpark.

But hopefully it is good, I am looking for a good amount of Mr. Freeze and Screamin Eagle and Boss action down there, as well as Scooby Doo!

[w00dland]

If it rains the whole time I will just do Scooby Doo the whole day.

Whose up for a Scooby tournament if it rains all day?

[Danhockey04]

I'll take you on Nick, and I WILL defeat you in your own game, losing, wait.... I'll just let you do what your good at then.

[ihauntu2]

I will whip both of you at Scooby. And just for added shame I'll bring my five year old, so she can whip you as well.

[Danhockey04]

You're on Josh!

[ZombieClown]

What is a Scooby Doo Ghostblaster and what does it do? Like I've noted in other threads, I've never been to SFSTL so I have no clue what I am getting into. Why does this sound kind of like MIB at Universal?

[Aero737]

Forecast Update:

The GFS model is now progging one large intense low pressure system late next week. This system looks to be of power and strenght of the storm which led to the tornado outbreak two weeks ago. The storm track will keep much of Illinois south of the low pressure system in the warm sector. The timing on this storm is still highly speculative, but the model is bringing it through late on the 31st.

My Forecast still stands
Chance of Thunderstorms
Temperatures in the 40's


Although the timing of this system can alter this forcast drasticly. It could be Dry and in the 40's or it can be Sunny and in the 60's/70's with a strong chance of heavy thunderstorms later in the day.

As always, I'll keep you updated.

[w00dland]

This system looks to be of power and strenght of the storm which led to the tornado outbreak two weeks ago

Oh Great, we all know that ihauntu likes to bring bad weather with him, maybe we will all die on The Boss when it gets ripped apart by a crazy tornado.

What would that newspaper headline look like:

"15 ACERS all die on wooden roller coaster, and this time they weren't just trying to get airtime."

[ihauntu2]

Well I'm not an Acer. Just remember that I got home from Rosemont an hour before the Tornados hit. Which means if I brought bad weather with me, it came from the Chicago area.

Lets see, how many folks from up there are coming to SFSTL?

[LAFFfan4lyfe]

i've never been to SFStl, so i'll get my butt whipped in scooby doo. Josh, your girl will beat me too, i can guarantee it.

cold and rainy.....sounds like.....fun?

[newjedi]

Is the Scooby Doo you are talking about the same game as at SFGAm? If not what is it?

[Maggie&meSFGAm?]

For the Scooby-doo ride, you have a laser gun and you shoot objects. Is that the ride where you shoot the flower pot, and it gets you wet??? You are in a boat, and thus you flow through the story on water. It's a dark laser water ride (slow moving) themed to Scooby-doo.

Aero737, are you going to SFStL, or are you just wanting to talk about the weather?

[Danhockey04]

I also gave a description of Scooby Doo in the meetings and gatherings forum.

[LAFFfan4lyfe]

shooting dark ride from what i hear.....I've never been there though.

[punkbunny24242]

SSSSHHHHHH.... don't give away the flower pots!!

Also a on-ride photo is taken and they always seem to come out really good.

[Aero737]

So sorry I haven't been able to update quite as often as I had wanted.

The big storm I was talking about was the system that came through yesterday, models were 2 days off from 1+ week out, not bad.

Here is my Forecast for St Louis for Saturday 4/1
Mostly clear in the morning, 6am temperature of around 48 degrees. Temperatures gradually warming, high of 66 degrees. Becoming Partly cloudy as the day progresses. Max temp expected around 6pm. NW Winds around 5mph.

Discussion:
Not a lot of variability with the models, MOS products seem dead on with a high around 66. Winds should be calm in the weak pressure gradient between passing storms. There is an outside chance of a thunderstorm int the evening, but anything should hold off untl past midnight.

Sunday:
Partly to mostly cloudy in the AM with a 6am temperature reading around 52. Winds will be out of the south and gusty all day, winds gusting to 30+ mph. The afternoon high is expected to be around 73. It will be turning humid during the afternoon. There is a high risk of Thunderstorms, there is a moderate risk these storms may be severe. Chance of precipitation around 50%.

Discussion:
Next big system will be pulling out of the Texas panhandle into Iowa on sunday, the gulf will be wide open providing ample moisture. St Louis will be plop right in the middle of the warm sector. Ample amonts of energy, instability, windshear will set the stage for severe thunderstorms. There is a chance of a severe outbreak with long tracked tornadoes possible. Otherwise, temperatures will be warm on the front side of the low, high gradient pressure differences will keep the winds screaming out of the south. There is a chance of some rain in the morning as leftover convection from the great plains rolls into Missouri. Left over clouds are expected to remain unless a potent enough dry punch can invade the middle atmosphere. Stay tuned, I'll update tommrow if anyone wants me to.

[ihauntu2]

Thanks Aero. I think I'm the last one headed down there this weekend, so I don't know if any updates past 7am tommorow would be helpful, unless the others have Internet at the hotel?

[ZombieClown]

I'll bring my laptop so we can remain updated properly. Just thankful that the weather sounds like it's gonna be really nice for Saturday. A little disappointed about Sunday, but I probably wasn't going to go Sunday was well. So it's all good. Oh god...Michael Chiarello is on the Food Network, I gotta go throw a brick at the TV.